*JETS +21 over New England----------The Patriots rush for only about 10 more yards per game than the Jets do. Their big advantage is their passing. With bad weather(and possibly really bad with freezing rain, snow etc), I like my chances (with 21 points) that Brady doesnt do anywhere near the amount of successful passing that he usually does. People talk about how the Pats want revenge for the Jets coach exposing their cheating scheme.....well, the Jets want revenge just as much because they have already LOST to the Patriots this year. (Win 20-10)
Carolina Seattle OVER 37.5------------Seattle has scored very well over their last 7 games and with both teams having decent rush defenses, I see no reason to not expect just as many passing attempts as these teams have been putting up all year. I think there's two reasons this number is low: Testaverde is questionable and these teams have played only 11 OVERS and 15 UNDERS this year. I'll take the good number and bet on more passing (Lose 13-10)
BALT -3.5 over Miami----------Miami's had too many chances; I tried them at home against the Jets and just utterly, utterly failed. The Dolphins suck, they've scored an average of less than 10 points per game over their last 6 while Baltimore has scored an average of 22 points per game over their last 4. If the score is 22-10, this bet wins easily. The Ravens were a highly anomalous MINUS 5 on the turnover ratio against Indy last week. That shit should not happen again. This line should be -7.5 (Lose 22-16)
JACKSONVILLE +9.5 over Pitt teased with Carolina/Seattle OVER 31.5-----------Pitt was exposed as overrated last week; their pass defense was a joke and they played like girly-men, failing to cover even the teased line. Their schedule HAS been weak and they proved, last week, that they are no match for good teams. Jacksonville is good, they've only lost twice by 10 or more but I'll take them on the teased line just because they're on the road here.(Lose by 8.5)
Carolina Seattle OVER 37.5------------Seattle has scored very well over their last 7 games and with both teams having decent rush defenses, I see no reason to not expect just as many passing attempts as these teams have been putting up all year. I think there's two reasons this number is low: Testaverde is questionable and these teams have played only 11 OVERS and 15 UNDERS this year. I'll take the good number and bet on more passing (Lose 13-10)
BALT -3.5 over Miami----------Miami's had too many chances; I tried them at home against the Jets and just utterly, utterly failed. The Dolphins suck, they've scored an average of less than 10 points per game over their last 6 while Baltimore has scored an average of 22 points per game over their last 4. If the score is 22-10, this bet wins easily. The Ravens were a highly anomalous MINUS 5 on the turnover ratio against Indy last week. That shit should not happen again. This line should be -7.5 (Lose 22-16)
JACKSONVILLE +9.5 over Pitt teased with Carolina/Seattle OVER 31.5-----------Pitt was exposed as overrated last week; their pass defense was a joke and they played like girly-men, failing to cover even the teased line. Their schedule HAS been weak and they proved, last week, that they are no match for good teams. Jacksonville is good, they've only lost twice by 10 or more but I'll take them on the teased line just because they're on the road here.(Lose by 8.5)
0 Comments:
Post a Comment
<< Home