Sunday, December 09, 2007

BALTIMORE +9 over Colts-----------Ravens at home on tv at night again vs a top team. Obviously, they feel they should have beaten the Patriots......and they did, except for the stupid sideline timeouts on 4th down. And this "almost-win" was totally legitimate considering the Ravens WERE -1 ON THE TURNOVER RATIO and outgained the Patriots by 50 yards. I think with 9 points, its safe to assume that the Ravens motivational level will be similar in this game and their defense will do equally well. The Colts, described everywhere as an "injury-laden" team, have won only 1 of their last 5 games by more than 3 points and certainly don't need to blow out(or even beat) the Ravens because they are already 10-2. They would probably prefer to not get hurt anymore before the playoffs. (Lose 44-20.....5 unrequited turnovers given by the Ravens. Thanks you fucking idiots)

Jets Cleveland UNDER 47.5-----------Clemens is a 50% passer for the Jets and Anderson is a 57% passer. Those arent great odds to go to the air with those guys and considering that both teams' run defenses are bad, I think its worth a bet that they choose to run more than throw here. The Browns are well-known as a high-scoring-game type of team but this will probably be the coldest game that they've had to play in this year. AND, even in warmer weather, 5 of their games have gone below 47.5. The Jets can go very low with 6 of their games GOING BELOW 37.5. (Win 24-18)

MINNESOTA -2.5 over San Fran teased with PITTSBURGH +16.5 over New England-----------The 49ers have 50% passers and Gore......and Minnesota has a great run defense and an increasingly good pass defense. Coming off two blow-outs of decent/average teams, Minnesota now gets to play the worst team in football and I wouldnt be surprised if SF doesnt score any points. I see virtually no risk in that bet at -2.5. The risk with Pittsburgh is that they simply have not played a good team; their strength of schedule so far has included Seattle(they're decent).......and then two games each with the Bengals and the Browns. Pitt HAS ACTUALLY LOST in road games to Arizona(not good), Denver(bad), and the Jets(bad). However, their pass defense is very good statistically and NE's strength is Brady's passing. What has become apparent in NE's last two games is that NE's defense is not that extraordinary at this point in the season. And "the blueprint" of putting two guys on Moss and blitzing more should continue to prevent NE from blowing teams out. I'll give Pitt's D a chance here with this many points (Lose by 4.5.......PITTSBURGH PUSSIES! They cant get 1 fucking yard for a TD in two tries in the fourth quarter to cash this bet??!! Weak. The Pittsburgh pussies are weak)

Charlotte Detroit OVER 187.5 (191) REST3(Win 104-85)

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