BEARS -1 over Denver-----------Home-off-road-loss for Chicago. After 3 consecutive losses at home, the Bears owe their fans a win. Grossman back in with a chance to redeem himself. But they dont really need to pass to beat Denver who has a bad rushing defense. If you think Denver is actually good after watching them beat Tennessee on Monday night, well, Tennessee outgained them by 70 yards and gave them 2 turnovers on the ratio. True, Denver, at home, beat Pittsburgh, but they got destroyed by SD and the Lions. (Win 37-34)

ARIZONA -9.5(-120) over San Francisco------------49ers simply do not score. They've played Seattle twice and scored a TOTAL OF 3 POINTS against them. After their bye week, San Fran scored 15 at the Giants. Last week, at home against Stl, a weaker defense than AZ, San Fran scored 9 points. They HAVE beaten Arizona earlier this year in their first game. They got lucky to do that. They scored 20 points in that game and that was the highest point total that they've put up all year. Arizona has scored over 20 points 6 times and over 30 points 3 times. So its home-revenge for Arizona, Warner is throwing 60% and Dilfer is throwing 50%. AZ has only played 4 home games and in those games they were 3-1 SU and ATS. And they've beaten Pittsburgh. (Lose 37-31......Arizona give 4 turnovers on the ratio and outgains the 49ers by 180 yards. Sick.)

PHILADELPHIA +24 over New England-----------Even if the Eagles offense is completely shutout, their defense would have to allow 25 points for this bet to lose. They've only allowed 25 or more points twice; to Dallas and Washington. I realize NE does not have a 'normal' offense with a QB throwing 73%. And I realize that NE is 9-1 ATS. But consider that if NE was a 24 point favorite in all of their games, they would be only 3-5-2 ATS(Win 28-31)