Monday, September 10, 2007

*WASHINGTON(Hill) +100 (BCLI line Wash -127) over Fla(Olsen)---------the difference between the hittability of these pitchers is massive. Hill pitched a 5 inning NO HITTER against Florida recently and no, Florida has not broken out of its lengthy offensive mediocrity. Hitters hit .310 off Olsen this year and he's walking people. Nationals hit a lot better vs lhp's at .268. And they simply have no excuse to lose this game. (Win 5-4)

*TORONTO(Halladay) -117 (BCLI line -105) over Det(Rogers) (Lose 5-4)
Tor -1.5 (+140) over Det----------------Wow, Blue Jays are murdering lhp's. They hit .295 vs lhp's and are slugging an incredible .485 against them. Rogers has thrown some good games...in fact, he has 4 good games and in 3 games he was rocked. With Halladay pitching so deep into games now(he actually went 10 innings against the Tigers April 13th), you have to give Tor a chance here against this lhp. They earned it. (5-4......An absolutely sick joke. Janssen needs to get just 1 out and Toronto wins; he give up 3 hits plus 2 runs and loses it. But I'll give Toronto credit for letting Halladay pitch in the 9th....he earned the right to stay by shutting down the Tigers the whole game. And Toronto's offense should have gotten more than 2 off Rogers, so they have to be held responsible for their weakness too. Should of been on the 1st 5inn bet in this one)

TAMPA(Kazmir) +145 (FIRST 5INNINGS ONLY on Betus) over Bos(Schilling)--------If you take the 1st 5inning line, I think this is an excellent bet. You get all Kazmir, who pitched a 6 inning 4 hitter against Bos on August 14th, with no exposure to the weak Devil Ray bullpen. And you get a Devil Ray offense that, while they may be slowing down, has been on a recent rampage. Schilling doesnt walk people but he's been very hittable this year(Win 1-0)

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