Wednesday, September 05, 2007

COLORADO(Jimenez) -163 over Sf(Correia) (Lose 5-3)
COL -1.5 (+110) over Sf----------------Correia's 3 starts have been ok, but Colorado is averaging 6.5 runs per game over their last 5. And that's against good pitchers: Lincecum....rocked him last night, Cain......couldnt finish the 3rd inning, Webb.....beat him, Lowry......ripped for 7 runs in 3 innings. If Correia were anywhere near as good as those pitchers(all beaten by Rockies), he'd have more than 3 starts this year. By contrast, Giants offense(terrible all year) has averaged 2.5 runs per game over their last 7 games. And Jimenez, well, he was rocked by Atl and the Cubs, but in his 7 other starts(all against weak teams like the Giants) he has been dominant and very hard to hit. So with Col, you have a very promising rookie pitcher with an offense that is currently doing very well, going against a bullpen pitcher and an incredibly weak offense that is not scoring. (Lose 5-3......Correia is good. damn, I knew I wanted the UNDER on this one)

PITT(Armas) +145 (BCLI line +120) over Stl(Mulder) (Win 8-2)
PITT +1.5 (-145) over Stl---------------Pirates are up to .276 vs lhp's and they're slugging about 15 points higher vs lhp's than Stl is slugging against rhp's. Armas 4-hit the Cardinals for 6 innings recently(they didnt have Ankiel then), so i think you have to consider Pitt here. People remember Mulder winning a lot of games.......I seem to remember a hell of a lot of walks..... (Win 8-2......only 1 walk, but Pirates crushed Mulder)

WASH(Redding) -118 (BCLI line -127) over Fla(Mitre)-----------In the last month and a half, Mitre's ERA has gone from 2.81 to 4.57. He's been getting destroyed, and by weak offenses. Redding HAS walked 10 in his last 9 innings, but he's usually been pretty decent and pretty consistent. Marlins offense is, of course, better than Wash, but they've scored 4 runs or less in 13 of their last 19 games. In my opinion, their offense is becoming very mediocre. And Washington's bullpen is better than Florida's.(Win 6-4)

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