Friday, June 08, 2007

UPDATE: After the games below, BCLI plays are 110-102 (+7.58units) for the season. If you had played the BCLI line games at the bottom on the side indicated by the BCLI line, you'd have gone 158-220 (-24.12units)

*HOUSTON(Sampson) +108 (BCLI line Hou -106) over Cws(Danks)-------Houston is hitting .250; Whitesux are hitting .233. Houston has scored 1 run for every 8 at bats; Cws have scored 1 run for every 8.5 at bats. Houston is slugging .392; Cws is slugging .363. So yeah, Houston has a better offense statistically......but consider that the Whitesox play with a DH in the American League and Houston's pitchers are counted in its offensive stats because.....Houston is in the NL. So even though the Astros offense is pretty bad.......the whitesox offense is ATROCIOUS. PATHETIC. 3, 1, 3, 6, 3, 3 runs per game for Cws over their last 6. 6, 7, 4, 6, 8 for Astros over their last 5 games. Add to that the fact that Houston hits .282 vs lhp's (Danks is a lhp) and that Sampson has been doing quite well(only been rocked once by the Phillies over his last 10 games). You know that I think Houston sux, but they are scoring better lately and whitesox offense is one of the two worst in baseball (Win 5-2)

DETROIT(Durbin) -115 (BCLI line -112) over Mets(Sosa)--------Mets have averaged 2 runs per game over their last 4 games: there's gotta be something wrong with them. Tigers are averaging almost 9 runs per game over their last 5, and they are a better offense than the Mets overall this year. Sosa has been holding hitters to a low .190 average while Durbin has allowed hitters to hit .260 off him. Sosa HAS been good(he has been rocked once by Atl), but the way Detroit is hitting and the way the Mets aren't........I can take this because I like Durbin.(Lose 3-0......Sosa gets HUGE respect for this, I will not bet against him again)

CUBS(Marshall) -122 (BCLI line -124) over Atl(Cormier)--------Cubs rocked Cormier a week ago and Marshall has had no problems yet this year. Braves not scoring.....they're averaging less than 3 runs per game over their last 5. Cubs have averaged 6 runs per game over their last 5, counting the 10 they scored when they faced Cormier. (Win 9-1)

SF(Lincecum) -127 (BCLI line -125) over Oak(Gaudin) (Lose 5-3)
Sf vs Oak UNDER 7.5 (-110)-------------Two good pitchers; two offenses that I consider bad. A's not scoring recently. Lincecum should have not trouble with the A's offense. Lhb's hit .285 off Gaudin and with all their switch hitters, SF can probably have 5 lhb's in their lineup. What happened in Lincecum's last start was disgusting and his team owes him a win. (Lose 5-3....extra innings kills the Under)

BCLI line (official line)

Nyy---Pettitte -162 (-185) (The Man)
Cleve----Lee -154 (-128) (The Man--Bailey)
Phi----Garcia -117 (-155) (BCLI--Elarton)
Laa----Colon -113 (-130) (The Man)
Mil---Capuano -114 (-140) (BCLI--Tejeda)
Lad---Penny -147 (-210) (The Man)

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