Tuesday, June 05, 2007

REDS(Harang) -113 (BCLI line -138) over Stl(Wellemeyer)---------I think the Reds need to make this game happen. After a string of unacceptably low scoring, they scored 9 yesterday and still lost to the Rockies. Hamilton and Freel ARE OUT for the Reds, so its not a perfect bet. But even with Stl ramping up on offense lately, the Reds are outslugging the Cardinals by 59 points........Cardinals are walking only once every 12.8 atbats(vs 1 every 10.5 for the Reds), and Harang is a serious pitcher who often pitches 8inn or more per game. Wellemeyer is a bullpen pitcher who is holding opposing batters to a high .300 average. Reds should--and need---- to win this one. (Lose 4-3.....FIFTEEN LEFT ON BASE for the Reds, their manager needs to get in an argument.....Hamilton actually did play.....Reds are dead wood right now)

CUBS(Lilly) +105 (BCLI line Cubs -111) over Mil(Vargas)---------Gotta go with Cubs again.....Brewers have gone 2,3,2 runs per game over last 3. Two of Vargas' last 3 starts have been bad. Brewers average vs lhp is down to .266 and Lilly is hard to hit. Cubs have rocked Vargas once and Lilly has shut down Brewers once. (Lose 7-5.....Lilly gets rocked....surprising)

FLORIDA(Mitre) -120 (BCLI line -131) over Atl(Carlyle)-------Carlyle hasnt done anything good and Mitre has held batters to a .240 avergae while only walking 1 every 5 innings: that is statistically great. Atl's offense is only slightly better than the Marlins' and if the Marlins can beat Hudson, as they did yesterday, they should crush Carlyle. (Lose 3-1.......ok, wait, let me get this straight: Fla can BEAT Hudson, BEAT Smoltz, but they can only get one fucking hit off Carlyle????!!!.......I knew some random bullshit like this was gonna happen to me.....Mitre dominates again for 5inn)

SD(Young) -145 (BCLI line -155) over Lad(Schmidt)----------Padres have gone 7, 11, 3, 4, 9 runs per game over their last 5 and altho i thought their offense was weak, they are actually outslugging the Dodgers by 16 points. Schmidt coming back from injury before which he was terrible.......I would consider him a question mark now while Young is regularly dominating. Dodgers did rock Young earlier so he's going for revenge. (Win 1-0)

OAK(DiNardo) +145 (BCLI line +124) over Bos(Matsuzaka) (Win 2-0)
Oak +1.5(-120) over Boston--------------Matsuzaka coming off 2 bad starts......Redsox DO hit lhp's well, so this is not a perfect bet, but DiNardo deserves some respect. He's only had one start but has held opposing batters to a .210 average and I think he's worth a try here. A's coming off close emotional win last night. (Win 2-0.....DiNardo gets HUGE respect now)

BCLI line (official line)

Col----Hirsh -120 (-131) (BCLI--Rodriguez)
AZ--Johnson -120 (-135) (The Man)
Tor---Hallady -164 (-245) (The Man)
Cleve--Sabathia -208 (-280) (The Man)
Laa---Escobar -184 (-210) (The Man)

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