Sunday, May 06, 2007

Update: After the catastrophe below, BCLI plays are now 37-42(-5.47units) for the season and playing the BCLI lines against the official lines listed below the plays would have made you go 90-108 (+3.41units).

SEATTLE(Washburn) +130 (BCLI line Sea -107) over Yankees(Rasner)-----Washburn HAS faced weak offenses(Oakland twice), but he's been pretty close to dominant. Rasner has pitched 4 or 5 innings per game and he hasnt proven that he's any good. With Mariners offense having put up 15 against the Yanks 2 days ago and having scored 7 in 5 innings off Matsuzaka before that, I'd expect them to have enough punch to hit Rasner. I think +130 is enough to play Washburn here. (Lose 5-0.....Seattle offense sucks the fucking wad. What a wasted opportunity)

KC(Greinke) -105 (BCLI line -113) over Det(Durbin) (Lose 13-4)
KC vs Det UNDER 10.5(-115)---------Statistically, both these offenses have been weak this year. Looks like KC is playing at home to avoid getting swept and Greinke is going for revenge against the Tigers who hit him last meeting AND for redemption after the Angels hit him last start. He's had 3 good starts this year and 2 bad ones. Durbin....going against his former team.....maybe he comes with something. He hasnt been very good statistically but I like some of his pitches when i saw him. Very low chance this game goes over AND the Tigers win, in my opinion. (Lose 13-4.....Greinke has nothing but a fastball and hanging slider. Tigers prove they can hit a fastball.)

TORONTO(Burnett) -118 (BCLI line -132) over Texas(Loe)--------This is risky only in that Toronto has been losing and not scoring. Burnett going for redemption. Loe is a pitcher I dont like; I think he has no skills. He's 6 foot 7, thus he gets to the major leagues. But he's too hittable. Jays and Rangers are scoring at about the same pace but Toronto hits for a higher average. If Toronto doesnt hit Loe, they really suck. (Lose 3-2.....Yes, Toronto FUCKING SUCKS. Burnett did his part, Toronto offense==shit.)

BCLI line (official line)

Atl--Davies -107 (-118) (The Man)
Fla--Olsen -112 (+140) (The Man--Peavy)
Cubs--Guzman -166 (-150) (BCLI)
Mil--Sheets -182 (-220) (The Man)
Stl--Looper -113(-145) (The Man)
Az--Hernandez -105 (+107) (BCLI)
Phi--Hamels -149 (-130) (BCLI)
Oak---Blanton -105 (-130) (The Man)

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