Tuesday, May 01, 2007

TORONTO(Burnett) +135 (BCLI line +128) over Cleve(Sabathia)------Toronto has scored 6 or more runs in its last 3 games and they're still hitting .322 vs lhp's. Burnett coming off a total shutdown of the Yankees.......he can definitely match Sabathia pitch for pitch. Sabathia is getting his k's but is not close to unhittable. (Lose 12-4)

ARIZONA(Hernandez) +145 (BCLI line +123) over Dodgers(Penny)------both pitchers have faced weak offenses this year and done well......the difference is that Livan has been dominant and Penny has merely been good. This is a revenge game for AZ as Penny shut them down last meeting. (Lose 2-1.....this Diamondback offense sucks)

CINCINATTI(Arroyo) -110 (BCLI line -124) over Hou(Albers)--------Reds: 17 runs over last 2 games......could this be a breakout? With Arroyo against Astros, I think its worth a bet at this price. Astros still very weak. (Win 11-2)

SEATTLE(Washburn) -115 (BCLI line -125) over Cws(Vazquez) (Win 5-2)
Sea vs Cws UNDER 8.5 (-110)--------This is a redemption game for Vazquez as he did bad last start. He may do well but I like Washburn better; he's rolling. And White Sox are hitting .197 vs lhp's. Mariners averaged 5 runs per game in their last series with KC while CWS average 3 runs per game in their last 3 game series. I think Washburn is worth a couple of bets here at fair prices. (Win 5-2)

BCLI line (official line)

Cubs--Lilly -136 (-150) (Delayed)
Mets--Pelfrey -137 (-150) (BCLI--Nolasco)
Phi--Hamels -148 (-125) (BCLI)
SF--Ortiz -120 (-132) (BCLI--Buchholz)
Bos--Schilling -186 (-175) (The Man--Blanton)
Tampa--Jackson -124 (-103) (The Man--Ponson)
Nyy--Hughes -111 (-150) (The Man)

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