Thursday, April 12, 2007

*TAMPA(Fossum) +145 (BCLI line TB -126) over Minn(Silva)------right now, Tampa's offense is significantly better than the Twins'. Twins are hitting .230 and Tampa has scored between 75% and 100% more runs this year than Minnesota. Redemption game for Fossum as he got rocked by Toronto last start(and Tor hits lhp's very well). Betting on a pitcher who is coming of a bad start was a strategy that BCLI used successfully last season. Based on my data, I would say Fossum has only a 33% chance of having a bad start here and a 62% chance of having a good start. +145 is more than enough for this situation where you're getting an offense that you want to have and you're going against an offense that has been lame so far and a pitcher, Silva, who can be hit very, very hard on any given day. This is my favorite bet so far this year.
(Lose 3-2....it is sometimes amazing how much shit you have to eat betting on baseball. It wasnt enough that Fossum redeemed himself or that Tampa out-hit the Twins 12 to 8. It was the fact that in the 9th inning, with Zobrist on first and no outs in a tie game, Crawford hit a double and didnt bother to notice, WHILE THIS MORON WAS ROUNDING 2ND, that the 3rd base coach had held Zobrist at 3rd base. So Crawford somes into 3rd and Zobrist is still AT 3rd. Normally, in this pathetically stupid situation, you stay on the base and let them tag one of you out. But No! Zobrist runs home(gets tagged out) and Crawford runs back to 2nd(gets tagged out). So instead of runners at 2nd and 3rd, no outs, its a double fucking play for the Twins. Its this kind of unconscionable shit that needs to stop for BCLI. BCLI does not deserve this despicable, idiotic bad luck. Something needs to change. RIGHT FUCKING NOW.)

TORONTO(Ohka) -126 (BCLI line -155) over Det(Maroth)-----Redemption game for Ohka coming off a rocking by the Devil Rays. Toronto is hitting in the .290....Tigers are hitting .235. Toronto SHOULD HIT lhp's and IS HITTING lhp's at .361. Maroth is a lhp. Price is good. Jays should be ripping here. (Lose 5-4.....another piece-of-shit occurrence. Toront out-hits Detroit 12 to 9 and the difference in the game is......an unearned run! Thanks for the 2 errors toronto.....dumbasses)

BCLI line (official line)

Mets--Glavine -165 (-152) (BCLI)
Atl--Smoltz -238 (-310) (BCLI--Bergmann redeems)
Balt--Trachsel -149 (-118) (BCLI)

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