Sunday, December 31, 2006

Monday

*Michigan (pk) over USC------I've looked at a lot of college and pro games this weekend and this is the only one where i can see a strong argument for only 1 side of the game. USC's rush defense allows 97 yards per game. That's pretty good and it is possible that Michigan is at a disadvantage since they prefer to rush and get a lot of their offense from rushing. However, I think its probable that USC hasnt faced an offensive line like Michigan's. The Pac-10 is all about high-scoring passing games. And if you look at Mich against Ohio State(a team with a rush defense as good as USC's) you'll see that Michigan rushed for over 150 yards. So I think Mich will try to run and could be quite successful. But even if Michigan has to pass, Henne has proven that he can do what he needs to do. Coming within 3 points of Ohio State AT Ohio State was impressive enough for Michigan. But if you take away those 2 long OSU runs from scrimmage(very uncharacteristic of Michigan to allow many yards against the run), Michigan could have won it. USC is 6-6 ATS this year, but I think they're more overrated than they appear. They beat Cal convincingly, but Cal had 3 turnovers against none for USC. UCLA beat USC and the turnover numbers were equal for both teams. UCLA held USC to only 9 points........and then went on to hold a weak Florida State to 44 points! I think its safe to say that Michigan's defense is every bit as good as UCLA's and probably more than a bit better. USC will HAVE TO pass against Michigan and if they want to win, they'll have to pass extremely well making no mistakes. I doubt that will happen and would not be surprised if Michigan controls this game on the line and wins easily. (Lose by 14.....pathetic effort from Michigan....offensive line played like little bitches.....Carr should be fired......Big Ten is disgraced.....Ohio State is devalued......Boise State is #1)

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