Sunday BCLI NFL
Tennesse +10.5 teased with New Orleans +9 teased with Arizona/San Fran UNDER 51 (+180)-------The Tenn/Buff game looks like an even matchup, two 7-7 teams, playing well, trying to make the playoffs. Both teams have a tendency to run and it could be a low scoring game(judging by the o/u number) where 10.5 points easily gets the money. Buff doesnt score enough to blow teams out and Tenn has only been blown out once with a trio of picks by Vince Young vs Jacksonville. New Orleans' defense has been excellent lately allowing fewer than 20 points in numerous games. Giants pass d looks vulnerable especially here against Brees and they have injury problems on the line. Saints are 6-1 ATS on the road and Giants are 2-4 ATS at home. Saints are clearly a better team than the Eagles who whipped NYG at NYG last week and should cover 9 points even if the Giants make an heroic stand for their season, and Tiki Barber, today. AZ should run more against SF, as everyone does because SF has a rushable defense. Both QB's are prone to interceptions so they shouldnt pass if the opposing D's allow rushing yards(and these defenses do). I expect a running game here. (Win by 11.5 and 32 and 5)
Arizona State Hawaii UNDER 73-------73 points! are you kidding? ok, ok, Hawaii passes and scores a lot. But while Hawaii was putting up 68 points against IDAHO and LOUISIANA TECH, Az State was playing real teams in the pac-10. ASU was holding USC, yes, a top 5 team, to only 28 points. Yeah, Hawaii went over 70 against Purdue and up to 67 against Oregon State. But lets look at Purdue's passing defense: 242 yards per game. Oregona state: 213 yards per game. Well, ASU's pass defense is better than that: 181 yards per game. and also, ASU has a running game and im sure they'll use it to avoid the shootout. (Win by 8)
Detroit Lions (+210) over Bears------Bears have much to lose by getting a stupid injury, but, technically, nothing to gain by playing hard in this game. They have secured home field advantage. For the Lions, you could say they have a draft pick to gain by losing, but I don't think players really think like that. If you're a player, you want wins and you want wins at home more than anything. Losing sucks and Im sure the Lions will have A LOT more motivation to win than the Bears. They beat Atlanta and Buffalo at home and ALMOST beat New England on the road. I took Detroit against Minnesota and they blew it. So this is it: the LAST chance for the Lions to win(they wont win at Dallas in their last game). (Lose by 5.....well, at least they covered the spread)
Tennesse +10.5 teased with New Orleans +9 teased with Arizona/San Fran UNDER 51 (+180)-------The Tenn/Buff game looks like an even matchup, two 7-7 teams, playing well, trying to make the playoffs. Both teams have a tendency to run and it could be a low scoring game(judging by the o/u number) where 10.5 points easily gets the money. Buff doesnt score enough to blow teams out and Tenn has only been blown out once with a trio of picks by Vince Young vs Jacksonville. New Orleans' defense has been excellent lately allowing fewer than 20 points in numerous games. Giants pass d looks vulnerable especially here against Brees and they have injury problems on the line. Saints are 6-1 ATS on the road and Giants are 2-4 ATS at home. Saints are clearly a better team than the Eagles who whipped NYG at NYG last week and should cover 9 points even if the Giants make an heroic stand for their season, and Tiki Barber, today. AZ should run more against SF, as everyone does because SF has a rushable defense. Both QB's are prone to interceptions so they shouldnt pass if the opposing D's allow rushing yards(and these defenses do). I expect a running game here. (Win by 11.5 and 32 and 5)
Arizona State Hawaii UNDER 73-------73 points! are you kidding? ok, ok, Hawaii passes and scores a lot. But while Hawaii was putting up 68 points against IDAHO and LOUISIANA TECH, Az State was playing real teams in the pac-10. ASU was holding USC, yes, a top 5 team, to only 28 points. Yeah, Hawaii went over 70 against Purdue and up to 67 against Oregon State. But lets look at Purdue's passing defense: 242 yards per game. Oregona state: 213 yards per game. Well, ASU's pass defense is better than that: 181 yards per game. and also, ASU has a running game and im sure they'll use it to avoid the shootout. (Win by 8)
Detroit Lions (+210) over Bears------Bears have much to lose by getting a stupid injury, but, technically, nothing to gain by playing hard in this game. They have secured home field advantage. For the Lions, you could say they have a draft pick to gain by losing, but I don't think players really think like that. If you're a player, you want wins and you want wins at home more than anything. Losing sucks and Im sure the Lions will have A LOT more motivation to win than the Bears. They beat Atlanta and Buffalo at home and ALMOST beat New England on the road. I took Detroit against Minnesota and they blew it. So this is it: the LAST chance for the Lions to win(they wont win at Dallas in their last game). (Lose by 5.....well, at least they covered the spread)
posted by BannedChatter at 9:51 AM
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