CINCINNATI REDS(Burns) +129 over Philadelphia Phillies(Luzardo)----Phillies are on an 8-1 run.  But Luzardo is not so reliable.   Batters have hit .270 off him.   Reds offense has scored 4 more runs than Phillies.   Burns,  born in Naples,  is throwing a .186 average.   And Reds have gone 6-3 when he starts.(Win 4-1)