Saturday, September 20, 2014

MICHIGAN -3.5(+100) over Utah-----Certainly,  Gardner has underperformed.   But the Notre Dame game......ND did have the home revenge in that game and......they're also probably gonna be a pretty good team with Golson back this year.   True,  some were disappointed that Michigan didn't beat Miami by more points but..........Michigan lost the TO ratio by 2 in that game.   And most teams aren't gonna continually lose the TO ratio game after game.   The only problem with this bet---being that Michigan is due to overperform----is that Utah is off the bye.  And Fresno State and the Utes strength of schedule is........pretty weak so far.  (Lose 26-10.....Michigan -3 TO.   Not a Big Ten caliber team anymore.   Can't believe these losers blew my 3-game parlay.)

VIRGINIA +14.5 over Byu----Byu was -3TO against Houston and they still won(but didn't cover).  So maybe Byu is pretty good.   It certainly was strange how they beat Texas by so much.   Byu also has the revenge at home here.   However,  Virginia has Lambert,  a QB from Georgia,  and I can't help but notice the amazing 56-14 beatdown in Atlanta on Thursday.   UVA has -1TO at home while outgaining UCLA in a loss in which they covered.  Virginia is also 3-0 ATS and we can respect them here today with these points.(Win 41-33............Virginia outgains 'em by 190yds but give 2TO)

DETROIT TIGERS(Scherzer) -102 over Kansas City Royals(Shields)----There is some truth in the saying that baseball teams'll score a lot 1 days and get shut out the next.   And the Tigers did crush yesterday.   However,  even if both starters do well,  I like the Tigers' offense having those .300+ hitters in the 3,4,5 slots.......and that's not counting they're 1 and 2 hitters who,  while not currently hitting .300,  can hit for power.   Technically,  the Royals score 4runs per game,  and the Tigers 4.5.  So I'll look at this game from an offensive perspective,  the advantage of which should go to Tigers even in a close game decided by bullpens.  Oh,  and I think the Royals should be moved down to let the Mariners take a Wild Card.(Win 3-2...........Torii Hunter 2-4, HR)

OLD DOMINION +6.5 over Rice(Win 45-42)
OLD DOMINION +210 over Rice----Rice has played good teams,  but OD played a pretty even game,  statistically against NC State,  who I think is at least decent.   And then..........OD has an Atlanta QB,  Taylor Heinichbineineberliner,   or something.(Win 45-42.......amazing performance by Taylor Heinicke:  430 yds passing, 5TD,  1TD rushing.   TDs by Pascal, England and Vaughn......and 2TD by Antonio Vaughn.)

SYRACUSE -2 over Maryland-----Although its a mystery how Syracuse almost lost to Villanova,  the Orange has Ishmael(while Maryland has.....Andrew Isaacs??),  a name with an INTTD in the Atlanta Falcons victory on Thursday.   I think Maryland gets most of its offense from one player,  CJ Brown,  so we'll just focus on stopping him.   Ok,  Maryland only lost by an FG against West Virginia.   But technically,  Maryland got a +3TO in that game while getting outgained by 250 yds.

MARINERS(Young) +105 over Astros(Keuchel)------Keuchel is pretty good and Seattle is not any better vs lhps.   But this is a meaningful game for Mariners......so I'll go with the big man.

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