Sunday, May 09, 2010

GIANTS(Lincecum) -205 over Mets(Perez)-------Mets are 13-5 at home, yet the road team is -205. Well, Perez is walking more than 1 every 2 innings and the Mets are hitting .236. And Lincecum's numbers are close to perfect........I'll play it.(Win 6-5.......7 walks in 3 inn for Perez)

NATIONALS(Hernandez) -128 over Florida(Sanchez)-------Hernandez has faced a fair selection of offenses(Atl, Cubs, Col, Mil, Mets) and is not walking people, not allowing hits or runs. Why not take him? Sanchez has good control but he's certainly hittable and beatable.(Win 3-2.......Dunn 3 for 4)

ROYALS(Hochevar) +151 over Rangers(Feldman)------Feldman is 6 foot 7 but I dont think he's being rated as a big favorite. He's been rocked 3 starts out of 6. Royals are hitting for average(.274) better than their 11-20 record would make you think. Although Hochevar is walking 1 every 2, I like him at this price to avoid the sweep.(Lose 6-4........Hochevar rocked and wild)

Orioles(Matusz) vs Twins(Blackburn) OVER 9(+100)------Matusz HAS faced good offenses(Yankees twice, Tampa twice, and Boston) but I've seen him throw and he's nothing special. Orioles offense could be waking up after sweeping the Red Sox and then rocking Liriano yesterday(can you believe that?). Twins have 4 hitters hitting above .300 vs lhp's. Blackburn has good control but is very hittable. He's sufferred 3 rockings so far this year. (Lose 6-0....Sick; the most hittable starter shuts down the Orioles offense)

BLUE JAYS(Romero) -116 over White Sox(Floyd)------Romero has the pitcher revenge against his last start; he should redeem. CWS have the team revenge against Romero but Toronto is hot on a 6-1 run and Floyd is weak; he's been subject to 2 brutal rockings, 2 other bad starts and only 2 acceptable starts. White Sox are hitting .226(Win 9-7.........Fred Lewis saves it with 3run HR; Romero walks 5)

TIGERS(Scherzer) -103 over Indians(Talbot)-------Talbot's had some good starts and Scherzer has been hittable. However, Scherzer has better control which I'll take with the Tigers much better offense.(Lose 7-4.......Scherzer is terrible, we're gonna start betting against this guy)

ANGELS(Santana) -108 over Seattle(Vargas)------Santana's ERA is 4, but he's faced the Yankees twice. Vargas isnt bad, but the Mariners have gone 7 straight games scoring 3 or fewer runs; the team just doesnt score.(Lose 8-1.......very suspicious that the Mariners score 8 runs when I bet against them; Santana a joke)

YANKEES(Burnett) +100 over Boston(Lester)-----Lester has allowed only 1 ER in his last 20 innings but the Yankees offense is crushing.(Lose 9-3........Burnett rocked, Lester dominates......why did I bet this?)

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