Sunday, July 01, 2007

CIN(Bailey) -104 (BCLI line -120) over Stl(Maroth)----------Bailey going for redemption here; Stl has gone 1, 4, 0, 5, 1, 1 runs pergame over their last 6(that's like 2 runs per game on average). Reds have gone 5,2, 9, 4........I still cant believe that Maroth will turn into a good pitcher in the NL(i could be wrong, lets see what he does here). Bailey good vs rhb's and Pujols is the only threat on this weak Cardinal team. (Lose 11-7.....Bailey is garbage)

PHI(Kendrick) -117 (BCLI line -136) over Mets(Pelfrey)----------I am NOT forgetting the Mets offensive weakness. I dont care if they just won 3 games or so. The Phillies are slugging higher than the Mets for the season and they take more walks. Pelfrey just up from the minor leagues.....I like the Phillies here (Win 5-3)

PITT(Maholm) -145 (BCLI line -142) over Wash(Bacsik)-------------Bacsik not looking too good while Maholm is getting better. Pirates have rocked Bacsik recently and I like how Maholm is going now (Lose 3-2......Pirates offense is a disgrace)

OAK(Haren) +117 (BCLI line Oak -110) over Nyy(Pettitte)----------Yanks have averaged 2.4 runs per game over their last 5. Batters hit about .200 off Haren and .270 off Pettitte. If this werent a day game, I'd take the under too. Yanks got 1 hit off Gaudin yesterday......that means there's a good chance for Haren to pitch a no-hitter today. (Win 11-5)

BALT(Guthrie) +1.5 (-130) over Laa(Lackey)----------I think Lackey might do good so I'll take the run at this price. Guthrie always does good. (Win 4-3)

DET(Bonderman) -170 (BCLI line -200) over Minn(Baker)------------The Tigers are the only offense in baseball that I respect right now. The fact that Baker beat me against the Mets and Blue Jays says more about how weak the Mets and Blue Jays are as offenses than anything else. Baker will not and cannot beat the Tigers (Win 1-0......yes, i will now respect Baker)

SD(Germano) +102 (BCLI line SD -115) over Lad(Billingsley)----------Billingsley's 2 starts have been failures going 4 innings or less vs weak offenses. He is not a starter, he is a reliever. Germano's ERA is 2.67 and he is hard to hit (Lose 5-0.....Padres offense is pathetic)

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